Global economic prospects : having fiscal space and using it, January 2015
tarafından
 
World Bank. author

Başlık
Global economic prospects : having fiscal space and using it, January 2015

Yazar
World Bank. author

ISBN
9781464804441
 
9781464804458

Tüzel Kişi Adı Girişi
World Bank. author

Fiziksel Tanımlama
xi, 193 pages : graphic, table ; 28 cm.

Seri
Global Economic Prospects.

İçerik
Cover - Table of Contents-- Acronyms-- Acknowledgments -- Foreword""-- Executive Summary -- ""Chapter 1 Global Outlook: Disappointments, Divergences, and Expectations""-- ""Summary and Key Messages""-- ""Recent Developments and Outlook in Major Economies""-- ""Global Trends and Spillovers""-- ""Easy but Gradually Tightening Financial Conditions""-- ""Soft Commodity Prices""-- ""Weak Global Trade""-- ""Recent Developments and Outlook in Developing Countries""-- ""Recent Developments""-- ""Outlook""-- ""Regional Prospects""-- ""Risks""-- ""Financial Market Stress"" ""Stagnation in the Euro Area and Japan Disorderly Slowdown in China""-- ""Weak Potential Growth in Developing Economies- Geopolitical Tensions""-- ""Ebola Epidemic""-- ""Policy Challenges""-- ""Major Economies""-- ""Developing Countries""-- ""Special Focus: Low-Income Countries: Graduation, Recent Developments, and Prospects""-- ""Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks""-- ""East Asia and Pacific""-- ""Europe and Central Asia""-- ""Latin America and the Caribbean""-- ""Middle East and North Africa""-- ""South Asia""-- ""Sub-Saharan Africa"" ""Chapter 3 Having Space and Using It: Fiscal Policy Challenges in Developing Economies""""Introduction""-- ""How Has Fiscal Space Evolved?""-- ""Definition of Fiscal Space""-- ""Evolution of Space during the 2000s""-- ""Space and Policy during Contractions""-- ""Have Developing Economies Graduated from Procyclicality?""-- ""Does Greater Space Tend to Support More Effective Fiscal Outcomes?""-- ""Institutional Arrangements: How Can Fiscal Space Be Strengthened?""-- ""Fiscal Rules""-- ""Stabilization Funds""-- ""Medium-Term Expenditure Frameworks (MTEF)""-- ""Risks and Medium-Term Objectives"" ""Conclusions""""Annex 3A: Technical Information""-- ""Annex 3B: Statistical Information""-- ""Chapter 4 Three Topical Issues: Oil Price Developments, Global Trade Slowdown, and Stability of Remittances""-- ""Introduction""-- ""Understanding the Plunge in Oil Prices: Sources and Implications""-- ""How does the recent decline in oil prices compare with previous episodes?""-- ""What are the causes of the sharp drop?""-- ""What are the macroeconomic and financial implications?""-- ""What are the main policy implications?""-- ""Conclusion""-- ""What lies behind the global trade slowdown?"" ""A cyclical factor: Weak demand""""A structural factor: Changing relationship between trade and income""-- ""What explains the lower elasticity of trade?""-- ""Conclusion""-- ""Can Remittances Help Promote Consumption Stability?""-- ""Magnitude, Drivers and Cyclical Features""-- ""Behavior of Remittances during Sudden Stops""-- ""Promoting Consumption Stability""-- ""Conclusion""-- ""Statistical Appendix""-- ""Boxes""-- ""1.1 What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future?""-- ""1.2 Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence""

Özet
As in previous years, global growth disappointed in 2014, but a lackluster recovery is underway, with increasingly divergent prospects in major economies and developing countries. Looking ahead, growth is expected to rise slowly, supported by continued recovery in highincome countries, low oil prices, and receding domestic headwinds in developing economies. However, continued weak global trade growth and gradually tightening financial conditions will constrain the recovery. Risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside. In addition to discussing global and regional economic developments and prospects, this edition of Global Economic Prospects includes four essays that analyze key challenges and opportunities currently confronting developing countries: fiscal policy as a countercyclical policy tool; causes and implications of cheap oil; weak trade that fails to act as an engine of growth; and remittances as a means of steadying consumption during sudden stops. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report. On a semiannual basis (January and June), it examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on developing countries. The report includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries through in-depth research in the January edition and shorter analytical pieces in the June edition.

Konu Başlığı
Economic forecasting.
 
Ekonomik tahmin.
 
Economic history -- 1990-.
 
Ekonomi tarihi -- 1990 -.
 
International economic relations.
 
Uluslararası ekonomik ilişkiler.


LibraryMateryal TürüDemirbaşYer NumarasıDurumu / Lokasyon / İade Tarihi
Ekonomi KütüphanesiKitapEKOBKN0005328330.9 WOR 2015Merkez Kütüphane Genel Koleksiyon