Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Contents -- Introduction: risk and the Cold War/post-Cold War divide -- 1 Risk in International Relations and foreign policy -- Risk in the post-Cold War world: from sociology to International Relations -- Risk and decision-making: the laboratory of decision theory and the world of foreign policy -- Conclusion -- 2 A new framework: risk vs. risk trade-offs, crises and International Relations -- Risk, uncertainty and risk management: a foreign policy perspective -- Uncertainty, risk and risk management: towards operational definitions. Presidential decision-making and 'risk vs. risk trade-offs' -- The risk vs. risk trade-off framework and presidential decision-making in foreign policy: connections and contributions -- Countervailing risks, uncertainty and foreign policy crises -- Rethinking the Cold War/post-Cold War divide -- 3 'I should have said that we don't care:' the Kennedy Administration and Cuba, 1961-1962 -- The Eisenhower Administration, American decline and 'their man' in Havana -- The Kennedy Administration and Cuba: from the campaign trail to the Missile Crisis -- Conclusion. 4 'We are sticking with the Shah': the Carter Administration and Iran, 1977-1979 -- Nixon to Ford: the new Cold War, the loss of certainties and the US man in Tehran -- Iranian revolution and American risk management: from early commitments to the final tragedy -- Conclusion -- 5 'Why is this happening and we are not doing anything?': the Clinton Administration and the risky road to Srebrenica, 1992-1995 -- The new game: the end of the Cold War and George H.W. Bush's legacy -- Clinton and Bosnia: a candidate's freebie, a president's nightmare -- Conclusion -- Conclusion. Risk and risk management in foreign policy -- Propositions and foreign policy crises -- Risk, uncertainty and risk management: rethinking sociological approaches and decision theory -- Risk, uncertainty and risk management: crisis, foreign policy decision-making and 'risk-superior' moves -- Continuity for continuity's sake? -- Bibliography -- Index.