Introduction to risk in agriculture -- Decision analysis: outline and basic assumptions -- Probabilities for decision analysis -- More about probabilities for decision analysis -- Attitudes to risky consequences -- Integrating beliefs and preferences for decision analysis -- Decision analysis with preferences unknown -- The state-contingent approach to decision analysis -- Risk and mathematical programming models -- Decision analysis with multiple objectives -- Risky decision making and time -- Strategies decision makers can use to manage risk -- Risk considerations in agricultural policy making.