Improving risk analysis için kapak resmi
Başlık:
Improving risk analysis
Yazar:
Cox, Louis A. author
ISBN:
978143901838

9781461460589
Yazar Ek Girişi:
Fiziksel Tanımlama:
386 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm.
Seri:
International series in operations research & management science ; 185.

International series in operations research & management science ; v. 185.
İçerik:
Causality for risk analysts: improving our understanding of how the world works -- Improving individual risk management decisions: learning from experience and coping with model uncertainty -- Improving community risk management -- Improving organizational risk management -- Improving defense against intelligent adversaries -- Managing real and perceived risks: animal antibiotics and drug-resistant Infections -- Rethinking the health benefits of air pollution control -- Air pollution and health risk inequality -- A causal model of COPD -- Exposure-response thresholds for lung diseases -- An exposure-response threshold for lung diseases caused by crystalline silica -- Low-dose nonlinear effects of smoking on coronary heart disease risk -- Do cold weather and fine particulate matter air pollution cause early deeaths in the elderly? -- Conclusions and recommendations: what have we learned?
Özet:
Improving Risk Analysis discusses and illustrates practical methods for assessing, communicating, and managing uncertain risks when the probabilities of consequences caused by alternative actions cannot be quantified with useful confidence, accuracy, and precision. This monograph demonstrates how to avoid these pitfalls by using improved techniques of risk analysis. Through these improved techniques of risk analysis, readers will better understand uncertain risks and be able to make more effective decisions about how to manage them. The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 and 2 explore the key principles on how high-quality risk analysis can greatly improve the clarity and effectiveness of decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 3 shows in greater detail how these introduced methods can be applied to health effects of air pollution, with emphasis on understanding and modeling causal relations between exposures and responses based on realistically limited and imperfect data. Throughout the book, real-world examples and case studies drawn from health, safety, environmental, and terrorism risk analysis are used and illustrate the practical application of techniques for improving risk analysis.
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Kitap EKOBKN0005332 658.155 COX 2013
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